Dynamic Nonlinear Modelization of Operational Supply Chain Systems

Supply Chain Management (SCM) is an important activity in all producing facilities and in many organizations to enable vendors, manufacturers and suppliers to interact gainfully and plan optimally their flow of goods and services. To realize this, a dynamic modelling approach for characterizing supply chain activities is opportune, so as to plan efficiently the set of activities over a distributed network in a formal and scientific way. The dynamical system will result so complex that it is not generally possible to specify the functional forms and the parameters of interest, relating outputs to inputs, states and stochastic terms by experiential specification methods. Thus the algorithm that will presented is Data Driven, determining simultaneously the functional forms, the parameters and the optimal control policy from the data available for the supply chain. The aim of this paper is to present this methodology, by considering dynamical aspects of the system, the presence of nonlinear relationships and unbiased estimation procedures to quantify these relations, leading to a nonlinear and stochastic dynamical system representation of the SCM problem. Moreover, the convergence of the algorithm will be proved and the satisfaction of the required statistical conditions demonstrated. Thus SCM problems may be formulated as formal scientific procedures, with well defined algorithms and a precise calculation sequence to determine the best alternative to enact. A “Certainty equivalent principle” will be indicated to ensure that the effects of the inevitable uncertainties will not lead to indeterminate results, allowing the formulation of demonstrably asymptotically optimal management plans.     

Sequential nonlinear estimation with nonaugmented priors

How can the basic compatibility of theory and observations be investigated for nonlinear processes without requiring stochastic characterizations for residual error terms? The present paper proposes a flexible least-cost approach. For each possible estimatex for the sequence of process states, letc _D (x) andx _M(x) denote the costs incurred for deviations away from the prior dynamic specifications and prior measurement specifications, respectively. Define the cost-efficiency frontier to be the greatest lower bound for the set of all possible cost pairs [c _D (x),c _M(x)], conditional on the given observations. State sequence estimatesx that attain the cost-efficiency frontier indicate the possible ways that the actual process could have developed over time in a manner minimally incompatible with the prior dynamic and measurement specifications. An algorithm is developed for the exact sequential updating of the cost-efficient state sequence estimates as the duration of the process increases and additional observations are obtained.     

交流源作用下介观RLC电路系统量子态随时间的演化

根据量子不变量理论，同时考虑介观电容器极板间电子波函数的耦合作用和电路的耗散,研究介观RLC电路系统在交流电流源作用下动力学的演化过程，并且得到描述系统量子态随时间的演化算符.进一步的分析结果表明，介观RLC电路系统的波函数将由任意的初态演化到一般的压缩态. 关键词： 介观RLC电路 交变电源 不变量理论 时间演化算符     

Optical characteristics of semiconductor saturable absorber mirrors investigated by the reflection Z-scan technique

Recently, the semiconductor saturable absorber mirror (SESAM) has become a key component of passive mode-locked solid-state lasers. Here we present a simple method based on the reflection Z-scan technique to measure the key optical parameters of SESAM such as saturation fluence and modulation depth. The experimental results demonstrate that our method is able to perform with a high accuracy of 10⁻⁴ and a dynamic range of over four orders of magnitude.     

动态柱形空穴膨胀模型及其在侵彻问题中的应用

 在侵彻问题中的应用进行了研究。通过采用相似变换求解塑性区控制方程，获得了动态柱形空穴膨胀中的弹塑性界面速度、径向应力分布、空穴表面应力的解。基于柱形空穴模型，推导了侵彻方程，并将其得到的预测结果与侵彻实验数据进行了比较。结果表明，模型的理论解与现有数据吻合得很好。 结果还显示了材料的可压缩性和塑性强化模量对柱形空穴膨胀以及侵彻阻力的影响。     

自适应H.264可变块编码模式选择算法

为了减少H.264/AVC帧间编码模式选择的计算复杂度,利用编码模式之间的相关性以及视频序列时空域的相关性,提出了有选择性的小块搜索技术和有选择性的帧内编码模式搜索技术。模拟结果表明,该算法在保持率失真性能的前提下可以大幅度减少模式选择的计算复杂度,有利于H.264的实时应用。     

单分子光子源光子统计的非平衡探测

研究了在Hanbury Brown Twiss探测方式下，非平衡探测系统对光子统计测量的影响。通过记录2个单光子计数器响应的单分子光子源输出的每一个事件，分析具有泊松统计背景的实际单分子光子源的光子统计特性，讨论并给出了非平衡探测系统的单分子光子源Mandel参数。研究表明：非理想的50／50分束器、非理想的线性传输效率和非理想的探测器都会使单分子光子源Mandel参数的实际测量结果小于平衡系统的Mandel参数，最后给出了单分子光子源Mandel参数的非理想探测的校正表达式。     

非参数回归函数之改良基于分割的估计的强相合性（英）

设(X,Y),(X1,Y1),…,(XnYn)为取值于 Rd× R的 i．i．d．随机变量,E(|Y|) ＜∞．设mn(x)为回归函数m(x)=E(|Y|X=x)基于分割的估计,本文在对mn(x)进行改良的条件下得到改良的基于分割的强相合估计．     

On a recursive method for the estimation of unknown parameters of partially observed chaotic systems

We investigate a recently proposed method for on-line parameter estimation and synchronization in chaotic systems. This novel technique has been shown effective to estimate a single unknown parameter of a primary chaotic system with known functional form that is only partially observed through a scalar time series. It works by periodically updating the parameter of interest in a secondary system, with the same functional form as the primary one but no explicit coupling between their dynamic variables, in order to minimize a suitably defined cost function. In this paper, we review the basics of the method, and investigate its robustness and new extensions. In particular, we study the performance of the novel technique in the presence of noise (either observational, i.e., an additive contamination of the observed time series, or dynamical, i.e., a random perturbation of the system dynamics) and when there is a mismatch between the primary and secondary systems. Numerical results, including comparisons with other techniques, are presented. Finally, we investigate the extension of the original method to perform the estimation of two unknown parameters and illustrate its effectiveness by means of computer simulations.     

Ce3+-冠醚配合物的紫外有机电致发光

采用5d-4f跃迁的稀土Ce³⁺-冠醚配合物(Ce-二环己基并-18-冠-6,Ce-DC18C6)作为发光掺杂剂,4,4'-二(9-咔唑基)联苯(CBP)为基质,设计制备了紫外发光器件:ITO/CuPc/Ce-DC18C6:CBP/Bu-PBD/LiF/Al,首次观测到峰位于376nm的Ce³⁺离子的紫外电致发光。通过对比器件的EL谱与Ce³⁺-冠醚配合物薄膜的PL谱发现,EL光谱中有部分来自Ce³⁺配合物中的Ce³⁺离子的。这种5d-4f电子跃迁的掺杂质量分数为3%时,该UV-发光器件的最大辐射功率为13μW/cm²。